Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a
tropical depression within the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.


