TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST----------------------- * HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF RUSSIA.
WEPA40 RJTD 200708 TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 ISSUED BY NWPTAC(JMA) ISSUED AT 0708Z 20 JUL 2025 PART 01 OF 01 PARTS HYPOCENTRAL PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME:0649Z 20 JUL 2025 PRELIMINARY EPICENTER:LAT52.5NORTH LON160.7EAST OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA JAPAN - KURIL ISLANDS - KAMCHATKA PENINSULA MAG:7.5 EVALUATION THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A DESTRUCTIVE LOCAL TSUNAMI NEAR THE EPICENTER THIS BULLETIN IS FOR EAST COASTS OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA ESTIMATED TSUNAMI ARRIVAL TIMES AND WAVE AMPLITUDES EAST COASTS OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA LOCATION COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME AMPL PETROPAVLOVSK_K 53.2N 159.6E 0713Z 20 JUL 1-3M AMPL - MAXIMUM AMPLITUDE IN METERS FROM THE UNDISTURBED SEA LEVEL TO THE CREST IN SOME COASTAL AREAS (PARTICULARLY NEAR THE EPICENTER), TSUNAMI WAVES MAY BE HIGHER AND/OR ARRIVE EARLIER THAN ESTIMATED FOR NEARBY FORECAST POINTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY. THE EVALUATION OF TSUNAMIGENIC POTENTIAL AND ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIMES FOR TSUNAMI WAVES MAY ALSO DIFFER FROM THOSE OF PTWC DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN ESTIMATED EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS AND THE TSUNAMI FORECAST MODEL. AUTHORITIES SHOULD REFER TO EARLIER ARRIVAL TIMES FOR GREATEST SAFETY. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS CHANGES IN THE POTENTIAL FOR TSUNAMI GENERATION ARE DEEMED POSSIBLE BASED ON EARTHQUAKE RE-EVALUATION OR REPORTS INDICATING TSUNAMI OBSERVATION ARE RECEIVED. =
WEPA40 RJTD 200734 TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002 ISSUED BY NWPTAC(JMA) ISSUED AT 0734Z 20 JUL 2025 PART 01 OF 01 PARTS HYPOCENTRAL PARAMETERS (REVISION) ORIGIN TIME:0649Z 20 JUL 2025 PRELIMINARY EPICENTER:LAT52.5NORTH LON160.7EAST OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA JAPAN - KURIL ISLANDS - KAMCHATKA PENINSULA MAG:7.3 (MW) EVALUATION THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A DESTRUCTIVE LOCAL TSUNAMI NEAR THE EPICENTER THIS BULLETIN IS FOR EAST COASTS OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA ESTIMATED TSUNAMI ARRIVAL TIMES AND WAVE AMPLITUDES EAST COASTS OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA LOCATION COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME AMPL PETROPAVLOVSK_K 53.2N 159.6E 0710Z 20 JUL 1-3M (REVISION) AMPL - MAXIMUM AMPLITUDE IN METERS FROM THE UNDISTURBED SEA LEVEL TO THE CREST IN SOME COASTAL AREAS (PARTICULARLY NEAR THE EPICENTER), TSUNAMI WAVES MAY BE HIGHER AND/OR ARRIVE EARLIER THAN ESTIMATED FOR NEARBY FORECAST POINTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY. THE EVALUATION OF TSUNAMIGENIC POTENTIAL AND ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIMES FOR TSUNAMI WAVES MAY ALSO DIFFER FROM THOSE OF PTWC DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN ESTIMATED EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS AND THE TSUNAMI FORECAST MODEL. AUTHORITIES SHOULD REFER TO EARLIER ARRIVAL TIMES FOR GREATEST SAFETY. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNLESS CHANGES IN THE POTENTIAL FOR TSUNAMI GENERATION ARE DEEMED POSSIBLE BASED ON EARTHQUAKE RE-EVALUATION OR REPORTS INDICATING TSUNAMI OBSERVATION ARE RECEIVED. =
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED --------------------------------- * TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF RUSSIA. * TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF HAWAII... JAPAN... MIDWAY ISLAND... AND NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. * ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS AND AT LOCATIONS WITH FRINGING OR BARRIER REEFS WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES. * FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED IF NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS. ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -------------------------- * ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE FOR PLACES WITHIN THREATENED REGIONS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR. LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC) ------------------------------------------------------------ PETROPAVLOVSK RUSSIA 53.2N 159.6E 0724 07/20 UST KAMCHATSK RUSSIA 56.1N 162.6E 0732 07/20